With three major races today, I’m taking a shot at predicting the winners.
1. VA Governor: It’s going to be Bob McDonnell, the GOP candidate with a two digit victory (a predicted margin of 12 points). This seems like a slam dunk.
2. NJ Governor: Only the NJ GOP can lose this kind of race to an unpopular Governor. Expect the third-party Independent to play spoiler and watch NJ voters stay blue by re-electing Democrat Jon Corzine (much to my personal disappointment). It will be a tight win for Corzine by two or three points.
3. NY’s 23rd Congressional District: Conservative Party candidate Doug Hoffman will end up beating his Democratic opponent Bill Owens by three points, with no thanks to the strange actions by the former GOP candidate in that race.
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